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   Investment Thoughts - Capital Markets

 

 

Capital Markets

Current Observations on Asset Classes

 

 

 articles 131-140 / 195   « page 14 of 20 »  
 
Liquidity Risk and Hedge Fund Ownership
The Federal Reserve Reserve Board, Working Paper, September 19, 2011 , Charles Cao and Lubomir Petrasek

What Moves the Interest Rate Term Structure?
FRBSF Economic Letter, November 7, 2011 , Michael Bauer

Creative Destruction at its Best: The History of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, 1896-2010
Over 106 stocks have been a member of the Dow at some point or another. This chart marks the span of time that each one of these stocks spent in the Dow, and shows the rise and fall of the index over this time frame.
Financial Graph & Art , John Paul Koning

Institutional Cash Pools and the Triffin Dilemma of the U.S. Banking System
Between 2003 and 2008, institutional cash pools’ cumulative demand for short-term government guaranteed instruments (as alternatives to insured deposits) exceeded the supply of such instruments by at least $1.5 trillion. The “shadow” banking system rose to fill this vacuum, through the creation of safe, short-term and liquid instruments.
IMF Working Paper, WP/11/190 , Zoltan Pozsar

It’s OK to Admit You’re a Macro Investor
"...portfolios contain less stock-specific risk than you think."
Morgan Stanley Research , US Equity Strategy, June 19, 2011

Bubble Trouble: Can a Law Describe Bubbles and Crashes in Financial Markets?
When a stock market rises unsustainably, it can create a financial bubble that sooner or later will burst. Tobias Preis and H Eugene Stanley examine whether concepts from physics can be used to create a law describing exactly how such crashes occur.
Physics World 24[5], 29-32 (May 2011). , H. Eugene Stanley

Inflation and Gold, hedging the unexpected?
Whilst Gold clearly does a better job of hedging inflation surprises over a 5-year horizon, the ability of Gold to hedge is partial at best and the available evidence suggests that the Gold price, in itself, is also a very poor predictor of future inflation trends.
Lombard Odier , Investment Strategy Group, April 7, 2011

Are Large-Scale Asset Purchases Fueling the Rise in Commodity Prices?
"...daily data indicate that Federal Reserve announcements of large-scale asset purchases tended to lower commodity prices even as long-term interest rates and the value of the dollar declined."
Reuven Glick and Sylvain Leduc, Federal Reserve Bank of San Fransisco , Economic Letter, 2011-10 April 4, 2011

There Are No Policy Remedies for Debt Deflation
My greatest complaint however is that the Fed is producing a plutocracy by demonstrating that they are willing to go to alllengths to prevent a market inpired liquidation of the economy’s bad debts. This is what happened in Weimar Germany.
The Eclectica Fund , Manager Commentary, December 2010

Past Bear-Market Rallies
The great derpression and "the lost decade" in Japan experienced many market rallies
Goldman Sachs , May 15, 2009


 

Themes

 

Asia

Bonds

Bubbles and Crashes

Business Cycles
Central Banks

China

Commodities
Contrarian

Corporates

Creative Destruction
Credit Crunch

Currencies

Current Account

Deflation
Depression 

Equity
Europe
Financial Crisis
Fiscal Policy

Germany

Gloom and Doom
Gold

Government Debt

Historical Patterns

Household Debt
Inflation

Interest Rates

Japan

Market Timing

Misperceptions

Monetary Policy
Oil
Panics
Permabears
PIIGS
Predictions

Productivity
Real Estate

Seasonality

Sovereign Bonds
Systemic Risk

Switzerland

Tail Risk

Technology

Tipping Point
Trade Balance

U.S.A.
Uncertainty

Valuations

Yield